From Fire Andrea Mitchell:
10:52 PM (51 minutes ago)Left wing PPP poll shows Joe Miller leading sore loser Lisa Murkowski by 7 pointsfrom Fire Andrea Mitchell! by adminA poll like PPP which is used by nutty left sites like DailyKos is the last place I’d expect for find a poll of good news for Joe Miller. But sure enough there is hope. In fact, with the way PPP does polling, oversampling Democrats to Republicans and Independents for their polling, Joe Miller may be in even better shape than I realize. Despite the media’s attempt to smear Miller, he has a 7 point lead over sore loser Lisa Murkowski in the latest poll. Scott McAdams, the Democrat earns the same amount of support in the poll as does Murkowski, placing him 7 points behind Miller. After the news spreads this week about the CBS KTVA reporters who were caught on voicemail conspiring against Joe Miller, this should only serve to help Miller’s poll numbers even more.
It appears that Murkowski will lose this race. There are 2 main reasons for that. The first is that she retained little goodwill from Republicans after deciding to make an independent bid. Only 27% of GOP voters are planning to vote for her on Tuesday, down from 31% from a PPP poll earlier in October. The second reason Murkowski’s headed for a loss is that she failed to dominate with independents. She is slightly ahead with them, getting 34% to 32% for McAdams and 31% for Miller. But they’re not providing her with a strong base of support the way Democrats are for McAdams and Republicans for Miller.
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